Tuesday, February 24, 2004
Haiti - Analysis
Haiti Political Analysis
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Political Analysis- Haiti's rebels -not affiliated with the opposition is a classic case of national destabilzation by a criminal element composed of former army professionals offering a 'fait accomplis' in a deal to the civil non-violent political opposition. Their method is to deiscredit the government with blame and are now attacking individuals identified as Aristide supporters by simple mind perception; a cultivation of local denunciations; and attacking anyone identified with that government. Aristide's peace offer is a constitutional arrangement whereby his majority party and he would yield the Prime Minister's office in compromise acceptable to the opposition which could offer one of their own. At this writing the opposition was stil not agreeing and seeking Mr Aristide's resignation. By news from the AP article below - the rebels using a former Haitian Army officer and past Cap Haitien police chef (Guy Phillipe) as a foil have offered a 'peace' to the oppposition if Arisitide leaves - Phillipe claims informal contact with the opposition (which still rejects the rebels for violence) - in return for career ambitions in a re-established Haitian army. The Haitian rebels - working with criminals and returning from the neighboring Dominican Republic where they massed in secret exile are reminiscent of the OAS - the secret army organization of de Gaulle's day in France which ravaged France with crime and terror bombing (to gain power by fear and reources by crime) until the 5th republic were established. They like FRAPH, were composed of army veterans of the Algeria & Indochina wars who resented the French colonial demarque and resulting military diminshment. Aristide nor the opposition cannot yield under military power to this assault - but can compromise - as if an attack were not occurring but instead peaceful demonstrations. The well-meaning former priest has done all he can and must yield - a resignation of his Prime Minister to the opposition and his party - and see to a quick reformation. The 'chemers', ghosts, - attaches nouveaux - are a criminal discreditiation technique aimed at any incumbent -- they are 'heard' as if government reposes . .and thus endangered. Once re-organized - Haiti's national government would have the ally of international forces. By the provisions of the Haitian constitution - Aristide's resignation, if done, would transfer the presidency to the Chief Justice of the Haiti Supreme Court - new presidental elections would speedily follow - the Prime Minister arrangement is an option of the voting majority of the Haitian Congress which can diminish itself - its majority strength - and the President of Haiti -Aristide. Sadly this good man must again consider a last resort sacrifice of himself to avert a blow against the state - but without exile .. this time to save many Haitian lives from the old fashioned Haitian relief option - death. Lets hope he does not and wins. Associated Press Paisley Dodds article reported from Cap Haitien & Port au Prince |
// posted by scotty of course @ 10:18 AM 
